Search results for "Earnings yield"

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Stock earnings and bond yields in the US 1871–2017 : The story of a changing relationship

2021

Abstract Using historical data spanning almost 150 years, we examine whether there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between the stock's earnings and bond yields. The novelty of our econometric methodology consists in using a vector error correction model where we allow multiple structural breaks in the equilibrium relationship. The results of our analysis suggest the existence of an equilibrium relationship over 1871–1932 and 1958–2017. On the two historical segments, our analysis finds that the stock's earnings yield followed the bond yield in both the short run and long run, but not the other way around. Perhaps the most important and surprising finding of our empirical study is tha…

Economics and Econometrics050208 financeEarnings yieldShort runEarningsBond05 social sciencesError correction modelVDP::Samfunnsvitenskap: 200::Økonomi: 210Granger causality0502 economics and businessStock valuationEconometrics050207 economicsFinanceStock (geology)
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Stock Earnings and Bond Yields in the US 1871 - 2016: The Story of a Changing Relationship

2018

Using historical data that spans almost 150 years, we examine whether there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between the stock's earnings and bond yields. The novelty of our econometric methodology consists in using a vector error correction model where we allow multiple structural breaks in the equilibrium relationship. The results of our analysis suggest the existence of equilibrium relationship over 1871-1929 and 1958-2017. On the two historical segments, our analysis finds that the stock's earnings yield followed the bond yield in both the short- and long-run, but not the other way around. Perhaps the most important and surprising finding of our empirical study is that, after the …

Error correction modelFed modelEarnings yieldEarningsGranger causalityBondStock valuationEconometricsStock (geology)SSRN Electronic Journal
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